The R&D Tax Credit Postcode Lottery: Why Your Region Matters More Than You Think

Recent HMRC R&D tax credits statistics reveal a huge divide between claims in London V Wales (and Northern regions)

7 days ago   •   3 min read

By Steve Livingston

Your company's registered address determines whether you're likely to claim £205,000 or £80,000 in R&D tax relief. HMRC's latest statistics expose a regional divide that's getting wider, not narrower.

One Statistic That Tells The Story

London average R&D claim: £205,000
Wales average R&D claim: £80,000
Difference: 156%

That's not a typo. A London-registered company claims, on average, 2.5 times more R&D relief than a Welsh company. And the gap is growing.

The Regional Reality (HMRC 2023-24 Data)

Region Total Relief Number of Claims Average Claim
London £2,320m 11,335 £205k
South East £1,475m 6,940 £213k
East of England £1,015m 4,570 £222k
Golden Triangle Total £4,810m 22,845 £211k
Wales £115m 1,440 £80k
North East £115m 1,335 £86k
Yorkshire £265m 3,130 £85k

The three South East regions capture 64% of all R&D relief despite making up just 49% of claims.

Why This Matters: It's Getting Worse

This isn't just a snapshot - it's a trend accelerating in the wrong direction.

London's share of total UK R&D relief:

  • 2021-22: 29%
  • 2022-23: 30%
  • 2023-24: 31%

Wales, North East, Yorkshire combined:

  • 2021-22: 8%
  • 2022-23: 7%
  • 2023-24: 6%

While government policy talks about "levelling up," R&D tax credits are doing the opposite.

Three Reasons Your Postcode Affects Your Claim

1. Company Size Distribution

London and the South East have disproportionately more:

  • Large corporations (RDEC average: £1.08m per claim)
  • Well-funded scale-ups (raising £5m+ rounds)
  • International HQs (pharmaceutical, tech, finance)

Wales, the North and regional areas have more:

  • Traditional SMEs (average claim: £85k)
  • Family businesses
  • Manufacturing in sub-£5m turnover bracket

The 2023-24 reforms hit smaller claims hardest. When you reduce the SME rate from 14.5% to 10% but increase RDEC from 13% to 20%, you favour large companies over small ones.

2. Sector Composition

London dominates in the highest-value sectors:

  • Financial services: £441k average claim
  • Life sciences: £250k+ average
  • Professional/scientific services: £207k average

Regional UK concentrates in lower-average sectors:

  • Manufacturing: £163k average
  • Construction: £109k average
  • Wholesale/retail: £101k average

Sector mix isn't destiny - but it explains part of the regional gap.

3. Access to Specialist Expertise

London has the highest concentration of R&D tax specialists, which means:

  • More competition driving expertise up
  • Easier to find sector-specific knowledge
  • Established networks and peer learning

Regional areas have fewer specialists, which can mean:

  • Needing to work with national firms remotely
  • Less local sector-specific expertise
  • Potential for longer response times

The key point: Geography matters less than expertise. A top-tier specialist working remotely will deliver better results than a local generalist working in person.

Regional Winners and Losers (Year-on-Year Change)

The Only Bright Spot: West Midlands

Relief up 21.5% (from £465m to £565m)

Why? Manufacturing renaissance. Automotive R&D. JLR, Rolls-Royce and supply chains investing heavily in electrification and advanced materials.

If you're a manufacturing company in Birmingham or Coventry, you're in the right place at the right time.

The Decline: Wales, North East, Yorkshire

All three fell 17-23% year-on-year.

Wales: -23.3% (from £150m to £115m)
North East: -17.9% (from £140m to £115m)
Yorkshire: -17.0% (from £320m to £265m)

Why the collapse?

  1. Smaller average projects - more claims in the £10-50k range that are no longer economical
  2. Fewer R&D specialists - companies either DIY (risky) or give up entirely
  3. Sector decline - construction down 18%, wholesale/retail down 23%

These regions had legitimate R&D happening. The claims didn't stop because innovation stopped - they stopped because smaller claims became less economical under the new compliance requirements.

One Important Caveat

These statistics are based on registered office location, not where R&D actually happens.

A London-registered company doing manufacturing R&D in Sunderland shows up as "London" in these stats.

Remote-first tech companies often register in London because it's administratively easier, even if their team is distributed.

So the regional gap is real but overstated.

The Bottom Line

Your region doesn't determine whether you can claim R&D tax credits, or the quality of support available.

It does correlate with:

  • Average claim sizes (£80k vs £205k benchmarks)
  • Company size and sector distribution
  • Local vs remote specialist relationships

The key insight: regional variations reflect underlying business structures, not inherent advantages or disadvantages in the relief itself.

Focus on:

  1. Genuine R&D - definitions don't vary by postcode
  2. Quality documentation - HMRC standards are national
  3. Specialist support - expertise matters more than geography
  4. Realistic expectations - use your sector and size as benchmarks, not just region

Interested in what you could realistically claim based on your region and sector? Book a consultation - we'll run the numbers for your specific situation.

This analysis is part of our complete review of HMRC's September 2025 R&D statistics. See the full interactive data analysis.

About the Author: Steve Livingston FCA spent 20+ years advising companies across the UK on R&D tax credits at KPMG and Crowe UK before founding IP Tax Solutions. He's reviewed regional patterns since HMRC first published geographic data in 2016.

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